12:50 Update

Bet or Pass
NCAA Hoops
richmond U 123.5

9:30 Update

Went thought the early games in the NFL. Phil is now -1 on Pinn with 40% of the betting on them. Nice to have +3 in the Hilton contest. Too big a move to get on Phil now though. Miami is now -7 but betting is only 55% on Miami. KC is now up to -3 with only 24% of the betting. Also Last min push on New Orleans to -6 at some books. With the line changes Buffalo looks the best to me at now +4.5. Tampa Bay right behind them

Bet or Pass
Buffalo +4.5
Tampa Bay +6

Saturday we went 1-1 on our 1/2 Unit college hoop totals. Our setups went 4-1 going 2-0 in the Bowl games….1-1 in the NHL for +.47 units.

Its the last week of regular season in the NFL and even with a 5-0 day I most likely will not make it into the top 30. It would be close but probably not.

I sit at a respectable 49-31 61.25% and at around 65th. I am 1.5pts out of 30th. Its been a fun season and an exciting one.

My picks today

In no particular order

1. Cini +3.5
2. Phil +3
3. Cleveland +13.5
4. Detroit +7.5
5. Tampa Bay +5

Hilton Top 5
San Diego

I am fading two of their picks. If you were fading the top 5 picks this season you would be 34-46-1.

% Betting Numbers Today

Indi 78
San Diego 77
NE 70
New Orl 69 Reverse line move for Tampa
Pit 68 partial RLM Cinci
Dallas 67
Green Bay 67
Balt 65
Miami 63
Seat 61
San Fran 60
Atl 58
Giants 57
Den 56
Min 54
Hou 50

Reverse Line Move
Tampa Bay

Partial Reverse line move
St Louis

Looking over the games its unlikely to be any plays in the NFL today.

Of all the games Buffalo looks the best and a little behind it Tampa. But nothing looks very good to me. The last two weeks has considerations that are not built into my handicapping routine so I make adjustments especially to the variables and a little to the models.

KC and Tenn are the two biggest public edges. KC is fading the Hilton top play and you are getting a good number -2.5. Tenn after luck got blown out…looks like a bad spot but usually those that look the worst are the best:)

I will update a bit later

Good Luck Today

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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