Bet or Pass
Indianapolis +9

2:20 Update

Sunday NBA Plays
Cleveland +6
Miami +7.5
Utah +6

10:40 Update

Sunday NBA Play
Detroit +4.5

9:30 Update

Sunday NBA Play
Phil +5
Sunday NHL Play
New Jersey +193

6:20 Update

Almost forgot …ran across an anonymous quote this morning that seemed very appropriate

“Numbers are like people; torture them enough and they will tell you anything”

Saturday was a busy day with no profit. Our NCAA FB play on Texas AM +4.5 lost. They had their chances but every time they put themselves in a position to tie or get close they could not get it done. Our two setups in NCAA Fb went 1-1. In the NBA we won both of our plays. Miami +4.5 won the game by 5 and Lakers +7.5 won the game by 15. In the NHL we lost both our plays going 0-2. Finally our MLB Setup on the Mets was a winner 4-2.

Today another busy day with the NFL. I need to get going on my hilton picks. Its week 6 and going into this week I am 10-15. I have New Orleans in as a winner with four more today. I really need to get over 500 by the halfway point to have a chance at at a 2nd half run to the top 50. Be nice to get that started this weekend!

The Hilton top 5 this week is:

For the first time I am with one of the picks in the top 5 (Buffalo) I am fading the top pick NE. I really hope that Luck starts. He is listed as probable. Otherwise I might have looked for another team. But taking +10 at home in the NFL usually has value irregardless of who the two teams are especially with the betting at 14% on Indy.

The Hilton top 5 so far this season is 18-7 the exact opposite of the way they started off last season. My thought is that by the end of the season it will be lucky to be over 500.

% Numbers for today:
New Eng 86
Ariz 81
denver 79
cinci 76
Giants 73 (Dog)
minn 71
Green Bay 66
Houston 60
detroit 59
Miami 55
Jets 54
seattle 51
San fran 50

Reverse Line Moves
Cleveland +3.5
Phil -5.5

I put Buffalo +3 out as a Bet or Pass yesterday. At +3.5 it would be a play but not easy to find that number anywhere. I got it early in the week. This game is very similar to the New Orleans game. Although not quite as attractive since New Orleans was up against a 5-0 team.

San Diego will not be a play today. It was my 5th pick. I would have loved to have another option but pickings were pretty scarce for me this weekend. The remaining two Phil and Indy. Phil has move two points from the opener. Although no key numbers are involved in the NFL its hard to take 2 pts the worst of the opening line. As to the colts. That game could well be a play. Its all going to depend on 1. luck and 2. what the numbers look like prior to game time. If its luck and +10 I am betting indy. Anything different and I will take another look but my models show the number to be very inflated (with luck playing) and Variables are equally as strong on Indy. We will see!

As far as the other games most have conflicting messages for me. So I doubt anything else will be in the running.

Finally a full slate of games in the NBA and NHL and a baseball game. I will post setups and plays on those 15 to 30 min before game time.

On a side note. This is the first day I have even close to normal( although with me normal changes daily) I made a wise decision to get this surgery out of the way at my young age of 68! Waiting would of been very risky.

Good Luck Today

twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade
Private Twitter: Rickjswings ( send me an email for a 2week free trial)

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