Super Bowl Sunday

11:50 Update

Bet or Pass
Houston +8.5

11:20 Update

Sunday Ncaa Hoop Play
1/2 Unit
USC +10.5

9:55 Update

Bet or Pass
East Carolina +10.5

9:15 Update

Bet or Pass
Florida State +2

Saturday we went 3-1 on our 1/2 unit plays in College Hoops. Our setups went 4-2.

Also as an aside… streak in Omaha 8 last night continued as I am now 0-6 with AA23. I never had a chance. 10 9 2 flop J on the turn…a bet raise to me and that was it. Will be interesting to see if I ever win again with the top hand in Omaha 8!

Now onto more important things….Like the SUPERBOWL.

Betting is 68% on New England with the line moving from Seattle -2.5 -104 to Seattle -1-105. The game was a pick for a long time and has just moved to -1.

Variables favor Seattle slightly. Models are about as neutral as you can get with an ever so slight lean to New England. And I mean slight. Public betting favors Seattle but not significantly.

Poker player sentiment is split. Polarity is pretty extreme with both sides as vocal on the outcome… other words…each side is a cinch! So no edge there.

Looking over the game and the numbers it looks to me about as close to a toss up as one could ever get in a football game. I just wish they had a line up as to whether the balls would be regulation weight or not. That is probably the best bet of the game.

So in other words you might as well bet on the coin toss and get it over with quickly. Or if you enjoy Music bet on the over and under of the length of the national anthem.

I am passing on this game and unless your a die hard gambler you should to. Now if you can get a bet no juice with someone else a small wager to keep the game interesting is not a bad idea. But knowing gamblers as I do…….usually their bet in the superbowl is way out of line with their normal bet size during the entire year.

So good luck today which ever side you take. I have nothing on the game and unless lightening strikes it will be that way at game time.

As far as prop…..I do not look at them. My head is spinning enough from looking over 100 college hoop games every saturday while sitting in an omaha 8 game at the venetian:)

I will update with hoops before game time. Also if my opinion changes on the superbowl before game time I will let you know

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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