Saturday a busy day going 3-2 in college hoops and 0-1 in the nba. The only easy winner was Kansas -4.5 as they blew out Nebraska winning by 20. All the rest of the games went down to the very end. Mass and Lou tech both lost by a half a point. Miami Oh down by 20 in the 2nd half came back to win the game for us. And E Washington won as a 4 point dog.
New Orleans in the Nba lost by 6 and we were only getting 5.
Looking at the Superbowl today there are not many clues as to which is the right side. The Public is not much help on this one since they are split 50-50 on the game. Everything I look at is neutral on the game with the exception of one model I use only in the nfl and comes up with Pittsburgh -1.5 on a neutral field. That is not near enough for me to make a wager on the game.
Looking at the line movement …the line opened on Pinnacle a pick with Gb-110. Within hours the line moved to -2.5 and stayed there until just recently a few books have posted -3 but you have to lay -115 or -120 to get the 3.
It really looks pretty simple at this point. The value appears to me to be pitt if you can get the 3 and lay no more then 110. If this game were played 1000 times and you were getting 3…I would have to think you would show a gain.
These are my thoughts on the Superbowl. Nothing complicated as there really isn’t much for me to go on with what I look at.
Again It is not a play for me. I need quite a bit more then the above to place a wager.
Today not much to go with so far…..I will update if anything develops.
Good Luck today