Thanksgiving day

We won our nhl lean on Thurs with nashville +110.

Not many games today and so far nothing in the way of picks.

Since its a light day and there are 3 nfl games going on today below are my observations on each game:

First let me start out by saying I have Denver +6.5 in the Hilton contest and +7 in Stations. It was my 4th pick in order of my preference for the pick.

The public is spit equally on the game 51-49%. This would take it out of consideration as a pick but when your in a contest where you have to make 5 picks a week you have to use all your methods to come up with some way of coming up with 5. My methods rate the game any where from +2 to +4. The line opened at +5 and has moved up to +7 in some spots. But again this game is no where near a betting pick for me.

Dallas -13.5

The dogs this week were so unattractive that I actually considered Dallas as a pick. All my systems point to Dallas with the exception of the public being split. If they were heavy on oakland I probably would of included them as my 5th pick. The fact that the public isnt heavy on dallas though is a big plus.

Detroit +12

The pubic is all over Green bay. 76% to 24% and the line has moved from +10.5 to +12. I didnt use this game in either contest since the line appears not to have any value for either side. But saying that if the line were to somehow get up to +14 it would become a play under my methods.

Let me know if these short comments are in any way helpful to you. If so I will try to more of it in the nfl.

I will update the site if anything becomes clear today.

RickJ
Ricjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com

Showing 0 comments
  • Anonymous
    Reply

    Rick, what can i use as a good source for seeing where the publics money is going. I use sportsbook.com but is doesnt seem to jive with what you say. Is there a better source? thanx jake

  • Anonymous
    Reply

    Rick, what can i use as a good source for seeing where the publics money is going. I use sportsbook.com but is doesnt seem to jive with what you say. Is there a better source? thanx jake

  • Göpfi
    Reply

    Loved the short infos on the nfl games.
    I look forward to more of that in the future.

  • Göpfi
    Reply

    Loved the short infos on the nfl games.
    I look forward to more of that in the future.

  • Andrew
    Reply

    your NFL comments are very helpful. I am thinking about Dallas-13.5 as a play, as well, and to hear it from you, a person who really only plays underdogs, it gives me a little more comfort in my play. happy thanksgiving.

  • Andrew
    Reply

    your NFL comments are very helpful. I am thinking about Dallas-13.5 as a play, as well, and to hear it from you, a person who really only plays underdogs, it gives me a little more comfort in my play. happy thanksgiving.

  • RickJ
    Reply

    There are a lot of consensus sites out there….covers has a good one…the one the puts it all together is sportsinsights.com its a free site to obtain 20 min delayed lines and percentages on the sides.

    The only problem I have found with them is that sometimes they are late getting info from the sportsbooks on the public betting. So you might get a 5 or 10 pt move a min or two before the game starts.

    Its rare but does happen from time to time.

  • RickJ
    Reply

    There are a lot of consensus sites out there….covers has a good one…the one the puts it all together is sportsinsights.com its a free site to obtain 20 min delayed lines and percentages on the sides.

    The only problem I have found with them is that sometimes they are late getting info from the sportsbooks on the public betting. So you might get a 5 or 10 pt move a min or two before the game starts.

    Its rare but does happen from time to time.

  • Anonymous
    Reply

    Thumbs up on the commentary, Rick!!!

  • Anonymous
    Reply

    Thumbs up on the commentary, Rick!!!

  • Anonymous
    Reply

    Love the commentary!! More please!

  • Anonymous
    Reply

    Love the commentary!! More please!

Leave a Comment

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!
Rickj's Handicapping Picks
Assign a menu in the Left Menu options.
Assign a menu in the Right Menu options.