On game tonight in the NBA:
Betting is 56% on the road Favorite with the line staying steady at -6. Although its -6.5 at some books. Models are neutral and variables slightly favor the home dog Toronto. Public betting gives no clues to work with. For me this game is an easy pass and at best a toss up to wager on. I pass on the game.
I have been having an incredible problem with windows 10 and the BSOD. So I have been problem solving this which to say the least has been very time consuming. But thats my problem and will be trying to figure it out this weekend.
Thursday we had a good day in sports betting going 2-0 on our MLB one unit plays. We won with Colorado +156 8-2 and also with Houston -114 4-2. So a 2.56 unit day. A nice way to head into the long weekend.
I sent out a one unit play this morning early so if you have not received it let me know right away.
Also there is another category of games where when I look at the lines and my models I know with almost 95% certainty the line is going to move substantially in the other direction.For example last night I saw that the dodgers opened up at +134. This was one of those games there was no doubt based upon my models the move was going to be substantial. And of course it was as the line is now +104!
The game was a borderline 1/2 unit play so I did not send it out. But I think it has substantial value at least for those that are also doing their own handicapping to be aware of these games. So I am going to have a category that mentions these games for the overnights. They do not come around all the time but they do come around.
Let me also say that unless its a play I will not be betting it. But its merely for information purposes to incorporate into your own routines.
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Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks