Another easy win on Wedn with Houston winning 8-1. So after an 0-7 start to july we have turned around after the all star break going 7-0.

July gives you an idea of the concept of variance and just how extreme it can be. The odds of 7 coin flips coming up the same 7 times in a row are 127-1. So in just 28 day we have hit 2 127-1 shots. But wait….since I bet on dogs the winning 7 in a row is most probably greater then 200-1.

This should give you a good idea why when gambling even on positive expectation situations you have to respect variance and bet amounts that are proportionate to your betting bankroll.

Today only 2 home dogs and neither are even close to a pick.

Good Luck Today

Twitter: rickjsportplays

Leave a Comment

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!
Sign up now for our daily newsletter. Includes handicapping tips

NFL and College football is hot this season!

RickJ's Handicapping Picks  The latest in positive EV handicapping Techniques
Sign up now for our daily newsletter with handicapping tips 
Rickj's Handicapping Picks