A disappointment today…6 games in mlb baseball and 4 in wnba and nothing I can see in the way of value. Guess we will have to wait one more day:(
I have been getting quite a bit of email asking questions about my techniques and thought I would share 1 with you and my response…might give you a little more insight on what I do.
> I noticed you say sometimes because of odd changes, games that weren’t plays become plays, so wouldnt it make sense to say for instance, Texas @+160 or higher is a play otherwise no play? Or the predicted odds and the difference needed for a play? Or is the method not straightforward enough to do that?
Thanks for the email. In almost every case its not a line change I am looking for. There are several other variables that change throughout the day and if its close I dont put the plays out.
In the instance where it is just the line….I dont put that out for the reason that I dont want there to be any doubt that my results are only posted plays and not something that changed later in the day that wasn’t verifiable….towards game time lines change based upon the action at an individual betting place. Not alway but often enough.
If I wasnt playing poker in the afternoon I could update my blog later when and if other plays developed…but I dont have the means to do that away from home at present.
Hope that answers your questions
His response back
Having only a general understanding of neural handicapping I kind of suspected that several variables were in play for what made a play or not a play. Thanks for letting me know, and I just wanted to say with all the touts trumpeting lots of baloney its nice to see a voice of reason at your website. I currently am doing much more observing than playing right now, but your method certainly piques my interest. So thanks for the quick reply and your picks based on logic and reason. 2 things in short supply when it comes to handicapping out there.
Check back Friday morning we should be back with plays then.
Record to date:
Sides: 45-53 +9.95
O/U: 14-12-1 +1.90
mlb(06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
Sides: 3-1 +1.95
Total: 0-1 -1.05
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
sides 35-36 +6.66
total 4-5 -1.10
Side 78-77 -2.75
o/u 31-25 +4.98
Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81%
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0%
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11%
Jan: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14%
Feb: 31 bets -6.75 units -21.77%
Mar: 40 bets -9.75 units -24.37%
April: 34 bets +3.42 units +10.06%
May: 49 bets -3.64 units -7.43%
JUne: 46 bets +14.66units +31.87%
July: 15 bets +2.15 units +14.33%
Total 601 Bets + 46.14 units +7.68%