5:00 update

Thursday NHL play
1/2 unit
Florida +135
Nashville +168

Running a little late this morning watching the stock market plunge.

Wednesday we lost our 1 unit play on Cleveland +105 and also lost our 1/2 Unit in the NHL on Buffalo +170.

A busy day today with games in all sports.

Thursday MLB Play
1 Unit
907 -C Kershaw
908 ATL-K Medlen +128

In the NHL there will most likely be a few plays but nothing that is definite enough to put out early. When they become clear I will update.

Also NFL and Ncaa football tonight.

In the NFL 52% of the public is on Cleveland and the line opened at -3.5 on Pinnacle and is still -3.5. On Cris It opened at -3 and is now -3-125.

Cleveland has been my top pick the last two weeks and I bet them both weeks. However tonight is a bit different in that they are a favorite not a dog. There are some nice variables that point to Cleveland tonight but my models tell me that the line is inflated quite a bit. And its over a very significant number …3! In addition the public gives us no clue at all what the right side might be. So a clear cut pass for me both as to betting and the Hilton contest.

In College football tonight 3 games.

Public numbers tonight are:

Texas 56%
W Kent 77%
UCLA 88%

There are no reverse line moves tonight.

Looking at the games My variables I look at all point to the home dogs tonight. However except for iowa state the lines all look to be undervalued for the favorite. So except for iowa state they are easy passes.

I am not betting iowa state tonight as the public numbers do not support a play.

Thursday Tracking Setup ( I do not bet these)

Iowa St +7

Good Luck Today

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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