12:30 Update

One NFL game tonight and two college football games.

In the NHL game 74% of the public is on Carolina with the line opening at -6.5 on both Pinnacle and Cris and now -6.5-115 and -7 even on Pinnacle and Cris.

My Models say that Carolina is slightly overvalued….and I have a variable that points to Tampa tonight. However none of this wants me to play Tampa Bay or consider them even as a lean. Nothing points to them enough to consider that. So tonight a clear cut pass for me. Now if the public number would get to 20% on Tampa I might reconsider…but not much chance of that happening.

In College football tonight the public is on Mississippi st 74% and Marshall 66%.

Mississippi st opening at -9.5 and is now -11.5-108 on Pinnacle and -12 on Cris. I do not have anything that points to either direction on the game so a clear cut pass for me.

Marshall opened at 9.5 and is 9.5 on both Pinnacle and Cris although you have to lay -115 on Pinnacle.

Most of what I look at points to Middle TN St tonight.

Thursday Ncaa Football Tracking setup ( I do not bet these)

Middle Tn St +9.5

Wednesday we lost our 1 unit play on St Louis in the first game of the World Series.

Today another play with St Louis

Thursday MLB Play
1 Unit
953 STL-M Wacha +110
954 -J Lackey

NHL and Comments on tonights football games a bit later

twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

  • Matt


    Love the site been following for a long time. For a novice gambler can you give me an idea of what a reverse line move means to determining the side you want to be on? Seems to me the contrarian gains value from line movement swaying with the public, but you seem to find reverse line moves significant variables to your models. Just wondering if you would touch on that. Keep up the great work.

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Rickj's Handicapping Picks
Sign up now for our  newsletter. Includes handicapping tips

NFL Plays Last season was the best in 20 Years!!! MLB we are on track for back to back 17 unit seasons.

RickJ's Handicapping Picks  The latest in positive EV handicapping Techniques Overnight Plays in MLB are sent out around 3 to 4 PM PST the day before Come join us for a fun and profitable Pro Sports season!!!  
Sign up now  for a fun and exciting football season

Positive EV Handicapping

Do you know the important clues that help determine which side has +EV?
  • Learn about Reverse Line Moves and how they apply to each sport
  • Learn about being a contrarian and using public % numbers to get an edge
  • Learn about the seasons within a season that all sports have
  • Learn key numbers in all sports

Sign up to get updates that will help you with your sports handicapping!