Wednesday we lost our 1 unit play on St Louis +108. And now baseball is over….a tough season for me.

Five football games tonight.

In the NFL tonight 82% of the public is on Cinci. The line opened at -1-113 and is now -3+102 and at Cris -1.5 to -3.

One of the strongest plays in the NFL is taking dogs where the public is less then 20% on them. Miami qualifies for this right now. However my models show cinci to be undervalued and I am staying away from the game. The Under 20% is actually a bit stronger on road dogs. So tonight is a pass for me.

In College Football 4 games.

The public numbers are
Houston 87%
Rice 63%
Troy 63%
Arizona St 58%

Whenever you get a game in the high 80s you look for a reason to take the other side. However everything except that number points to Houston tonight for me. So I am passing on the game. If the public number was less then 70 I might even consider it as a lean or tracking setup.

With 63% of the public on Rice the are on the dog. Usually the public is on the favorite. My models also show N texas to be undervalued…..

Thurs Ncaa Football Lean
N Texas -2.5
Arizona St -10.5

Troy not much there on either side…my models show a slight edge to monroe…but only very slight…a pass for me

In the Arizona st game everything I look at points to Arizona st tonight. Not enough for a play or tracking setup….but certainly a lean.

Nothing tonight in the nba or nhl.

Good Luck Today

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Rickj's Handicapping Picks