4:40 Update

Nothing else today. I was watching the movement in the Rhode Island game but now that the game is down to 6.5 that takes it out of being a potential play.

3:50 Update

Thursday NHL Play
1/2 Unit
Ottawa +105

Nothing on Wednesday and too early today for any plays.

Two football games tonight.

In the NFL Jacksonville has 46% of the betting on them as a home dog. The line on Pinnacle opened at -2 and is now -3-117. On Cris -3+105 to -3-120 . On Bovada -3-125.

My models show Houston to be overvalued. My models show the game closer to a pick then -3. The Variables slightly favor Jacksonville also. However the public number on Jacksonville is too high to consider them at 46%. So the game is a clear cut pass for me. If the variables were a bit stronger on Jacksonville I would consider putting them out as a lean. However they are barely in Jacksonville’s favor.

In College football tonight the public is on Cinci 45% as a home dog. The line opened on Pinnacle -3.5 and is now -3+101. On Cris -7 to -3. On Bovada -3.

My models show the game to be fairly valued. The variables favor Cinci. But as in the NFL game the public number does not reveal much of an edge on Cinci. So this game is also a pass for me tonight.

I will update a bit later if any plays or setups show up tonight.

Good Luck Today

Twitter: rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

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