Wednesday we lost our 1 unit play in baseball on boston and won our 1/2 Unit play on Cinci.
Today only 1 game has possibilities and its a night game.
Three football games today.
In the NFL Pitt is at baltimore. The betting is on the road dog 66%. This should be a red flag. The betting has gone with the action from -3+100 to -2.5-113. Variables favor Baltimore strongly tonight. My model favors Pitt but at +2.5 no key number. For me its Baltimore or pass. I am passing. At 3 its just a pass period.
In college football:
Louisiana tech at N texas . Betting is 53% on N texas. The line has moved from -6.5 to -3.5. Thats a pretty big move with so little one sided action. I have no variables pointing either way and models are neutral on the game. A pass for me.
Houston at BYU Variables and models point to houston tonight. But no strong enough to even make it a slight edge. However if we get a reverse line move on the game even slightly I am going to pull the trigger on the game for 1/2 a unit. The betting is 77% on the Home Fav and the line has moved vrom -17 to -17.5-103. So it would take a move to -16.5 or perhaps -17 with plus odds for me to consider the game. Plenty of time…lets see what develops.
I will update a bit later.
Good LUck Today