Nothing at all Wednesday. Tonight we have three football games:

New England

The betting is 67% on New England. The line has moved with the action from -8.5 to -9.5. Variables are split on the game but favor New England slightly. Models favor New england. Public numbers are Neutral for betting purposes. I am going to give this game a complete pass. I have mentioned this before that you are not going get rich taking favorites of -8 or better in the NFL! On the other hand with my models favoring NE and variables slightly favoring NE Its all an offset for me.

Virginia Tech

Betting is 65% on Virginia tech. Line movement is contrary to the action from -3-102 to -1. Variables are completely absent on the game. Models slightly favor Virginia tech. Public numbers hint at Pitt…but not enough to give it much significance. A pass.

Oregon st

Public is 61% on Utah and the line has moved with the action from -2-102 to -2.5-114. Variables strongly favor Oregon St. Models slightly favor Utah. This game right now is a pass for me. But could change depending on the the numbers look before game time.

I will look at both of these games before game time to see if there are any changes.

Might be some possibilies tonight in nba and nhl. I will update these also before game times.

Now onto the swing trades. If you have taken these you are most likely vomiting profusely every day the market opens. This is the nature of these types of plays. They rarely catch the exact bottom and can be some very dramatic downswings. This last few weeks is more then usual but none the less within what you should be ready for. That is why you have to manage your trades with a % of your bankroll….similar to what I reccomend on sports.

Now saying that we are still a bit off an exit on these trades. However if we get a good rally from here with a strong rally tomorrow may be some exits before the close tomorrow. We will see. Also if we get a monster move to the upside from here some slight possibility of an exit today…but not likely.

Good Luck Today

Twitter: Rickjsportplays
Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Rickj's Handicapping Picks
Sign up now for our  newsletter. Includes handicapping tips

MLB has now entered the 3rd month of the season!  Results posted.

RickJ's Handicapping Picks  The latest in positive EV handicapping Techniques Overnight Plays in MLB are sent out around 3 to 4 PM PST the day before Come join us for a fun and profitable Pro Sports season!!!  
Sign up now for the service. Its free until NCAA FB starts. 

Positive EV Handicapping

Do you know the important clues that help determine which side has +EV?
  • Learn about Reverse Line Moves and how they apply to each sport
  • Learn about being a contrarian and using public % numbers to get an edge
  • Learn about the seasons within a season that all sports have
  • Learn key numbers in all sports

Sign up to get updates that will help you with your sports handicapping!