Late action again on the dog…let’s see which wins…models or late action
It looks like the late action is going to win out over my models. What you want is the late action agreeing with the models.
The next game is:
52% of the betting is on the favorite Nebraska. and the line has stayed steady at -5.5-106. My models again strongly favor the Favorite Nebraska. The difference from the previous game is that you have the betting almost even on both sides…this would make my models prediction a bit stronger then when it comes on a side where 76% are on the favorite. I am passing on the game however. But if the late action comes in on Nebraska….I might change my mind depending on where it is coming from. I will update if I decide to play the game.
How we won the Central Michigan bet last night
The late move on Loy Marym would suggest strongly to me that the dog is the right side….But I am passing for reasons stated below.
Well I am off to a good start today….No college football! So…..ignore my comments on the game as the numbers will most likely change a bit by tomorrow:)
First college hoop game
Betting is 76% on the Favorite Depaul. The line has moved from -1.5-106 to -4 100 I imagine the move has been triggered by a well know handicapping service putting this game out…but that is speculation. Variables favor Depaul Models favor Depaul strongly and public numbers slightly favor Loy Mary …only slightly. A pass for me as I tend not to go with 76 % of the betting especially after the line has moved that much. A Pass
Well a miracle finish by Central Michigan got us the cover on our 1/2 unit play.
First football game today
Betting is 65% on the favorite with the line moving from -5.5-110 to -6 -112.
Variables are neutral …public betting no edge…Models strongly favor Louisiana Tech….so much that it would almost seem Illinois has an injury.
I am passing on the game as Models alone do not do it for me.
Good Luck Today