3:55 Update
Model disparity tonight favor
Buffalo -1
Ark St -12.5
These are not plays or setups but only the biggest differences in the models from the game line
3:05 Update
Wednesday we lost our NHL play in OT with Florida +109.
For those of you just taking a look at the site for the weekend games in college football and NFL you will need to take a look back several days as to the changes that have taken place.
I have gotten a number of emails from “its about time” to “I can’t believe you are doing this”.
Also I still get questions about guarantee’s of plays per day and winners. Let me start out by saying that if your asking me that question then more then likely this service is not for you. There are no guarantees as to plays per day or winners. I can say you will get the same attention to detail and hard work I have demonstrated over the last twelve years. I also added a new source for data that is very expensive but provides me much more flexibility in analyzing games.
So the service is available by subscribing via the paypal button on the upper left. In addition if your a subscriber and want an opinion on a certain game or two go ahead and email me the request and I will respond via the private twitter feed. This is only available to subscribers.
Ok…on to sports…I will still give some analysis on games for the day on this site along with setups and model differences to help you out in your handicapping.
For subscribers there will be plays tonight.
There is one game in the NFL tonight:
Cleveland
Cincinnati
Betting is 64% on Cinci with the line moving from -10.5 to now -13. Models still favor Cinci tonight with variables strongly favoring Cleveland. If the models favored Cleveland I most likely would bet the game…but the models have been pretty good on the NFL…right behind college football in accuracy. So I am passing on the game.
Good Luck Tonight
The markets did something unusual yesterday….they were down! Of course that might of had something to do with Yellen giving her guidance! Still jawboning about a rate increase in December.
It was not enough of a pullback to take the market from overbought but another flat or down day and we will be again in neutral. In positive seasonality thats really all you can look for. If you wait for oversold you are going to miss out on some great opportunities.
I exited a swing trade long yesterday for a little over a 6% gain in about a week. I presently have two other swing trades on both with nice gains. My portfolio is what it is…a makeup of ten stocks with covered calls. The prices flutuate from day to day but I am picking up income from the covered calls. Usually I like to look for a covered call that is 2$ away from the price. That seems to be a nice balance. Also I like options about 30 days out if I can find them that gives 2%. Thats a pretty good move in 30 days.
The next two weeks are not as positive for seasonality but after this two week period we get back to very strong again. Remember Jobs report tomorrow. Things will pick up tomorrow one way or the other.
If you want to follow my swing trades just send an invite to RICKJSWINGS for a two week free trial.
For those of you whose trial is running out you can sign up for 24$ a month through Paypal. Just send to my email address: riccja3@gmail.com
RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.com
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