Wednesday we had a one unit play and a 1/2 unit play in MLB. We lost the one unit play on Baltimore +134 4-6 and won our 1/2 unit play on Houston +111 4-1.
We had three overnight big move games:
San Diego +104
The closing line yesterday in these games was :
San Diego -128!!
So 2 our of three moved our way with the game moving from a +104 dog to a -128 favorite. The other did not move at all.
These really have outshined everything else so far this season. There are several ways you can use the big move potential games:
1. As a filter to your own handicapping. If you handicap to the other side you can wait and get a much better line or if it’s to the side I post you can bet it right now
2. Simply to put in your other arsenal of methods in handicapping
3. To just take them all with the idea of betting middles. (I do not recommend this approach)
Some of these become plays and some do not. I need much more than the models to make a wager. Today we already had a big move game take place. Early this morning I put out Atlanta +106 as big move potential and the line closed at Atlanta -115! And they won 7-2.
So these big move games are games you need to give some serious attention to. It’s very similar to a few years ago in college hoops when my games, when put out early, would move 5 or 6 pts at times. These are not quite the same as the public has no idea of these values. Only my subscribers.
If you have any questions about these drop me an email.
In addition to two big move games, I have also sent out two 1/2 unit plays.
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Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks