I am tired today!!! But finally got to handicapping sports for tonight!!!

3:45 Update

Two games tonight in College Football:

Bowling Green

Akron

Betting is 74% on the home Favorite with the line moving from -8.5-106 to -10-106. Models are neutral, Variables are neutral and public betting favors Bowling Green. Saying that there is no reverse line move which is a negative and more importantly the variables and models give us no hint. This game is an easy pass an easy pass for me. Unlike last night where I suggested if you were with the public you might want to take a 2nd look I cannot say that about tonights game.

Toledo

Northern Ill

Betting is 71 % on the favorite with the line steady at -6.5-110. There are plenty of -7 out there also. Models slightly favor Northern Ill, Variables are neutral and public betting favors slightly Northern ill. Without any variables to give a hint on the right side I am passing. Also models only slightly favor N. Ill. Public betting does favor N. Ill but this aspect of the equation has been weakening over the last year or two. A number of years ago you could take home dogs around 25% ad come out pretty good at the end of the season. That edge however is almost gone. So I am passing on this game.

 

Good Luck Tonight which ever sides you take tonight!!!

 

It was a late night last night but I am about ready to take a nap before the games begin this evening.

On Tuesday we went 1-1 on 1 unit plays. Winning with Dallas +4.5 in the NBA as they had an easy time of it winning the game out right 109-97! In the NHL we lost with Carolina +135 in OT. So the day ended up as a push.

There are no plays pending at the moment. As with last night I should be able to do a write up on one of the college football games this evening. But now that the market is closed I am going to take a nap.

Also I have handicapped tonight’s games and there are several NBA games that could come around to being plays. So far nothing close in the NFL. In college football maybe but probably no play tonight.

I will be back on track tomorrow

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

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