Nothing Monday and today there is the possibility of a nhl pick. I will update later
if it becomes clear.

Another email:

“Last year you had a great run at the beginning of the college hoops season with totals, before the books adjusted. Are you saying there will be no such plays this season, even if they present themselves?”

My response:

It was a great run and how much was variance and how much was weakness in the numbers is not known. I do know after the 1st 3 weeks whatever worked didnt anymore.

Since the method I used last year wasnt proven but just an off the cuff system that worked out..and since there is no way for me to back test it I wont be doing it again this year.

In addition the time spent in working the totals up daily is enormous! In addition one of the variables I looked at wasnt put out early so that made it all the more difficult.

Finally most books dont put out totals the first few weeks of ncaa baskets until about 30 min before game time.

All that adds up to my not doing it again this year.

That being said I have uncovered a sub set in the sides that looks promising and will put out the picks as they develop similar to the other sports. This will be the first year I have used this subset but its the only one so far that I have found that seems worth handicapping in ncaa baskets.


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