A good weekend for me in the nfl. 4-1 in both contests and 4-1 in my side wager.
I should be very close to in the money in both contests with 3 weeks to go. Much better then last year when I put on a last 4 week rush to need one final good week in the last week to cash.(which didnt happen) So I am well positioned right now … 9-6 the final 3 weeks should cash me in one or both. But easier said then done:)
Today there is nothing much. Unless some movement in ncaa baskets there will be nothing there. Not much close in the nhl and the nba not much either.
I received an email this morning wondering why I dont have more leans or plays.
Think of it this way …. the smartest minds are making these lines. And usually if there is value its because they are giving it to you rather then you taking it. At least thats the way I view it. Given that ….there really isnt supposed to be many plays.
Most bettors by this time of year are ready to give up sports betting for good. They started the nfl with high hopes…thinking about all the money they will make but by half way through the season or even sooner reality sets in and they are either out of action financially or just give it up…too tough. Then after the pain disappears over the off season…. they are ready to start the cycle again when nfl fever strikes in preseason.
I used to be one of those many years ago that were in the cycle. Fortunately I have the ability to intellectualize these types of situations and adjust.
This blog has been going on now for over 3 years. A lot has been hit and miss but the progression has been from the start…less and less picks…..but greater reliability.
Right now I think I can make a profit in every sport. Yes even baseball(i know we haven’t had a profitable season in baseball since this blog started…but I believe next season will be..I have made some adjustments that I think will do the trick)
I welcome any comments regarding the above. As you know this is merely a hobby for me..similar to the way people work on crossword puzzles or anagrams to keep there mind active. I enjoy it….its a great mental exercise for me.