We split our mlb picks on Monday with KC winning in extra innings…and LAA never in the lead.

Today there are 7 home dogs and only two so far are eliminated from consideration. I will update as the plays become clear today.

The market 30 min before the open is gapping up over .5%. We are well positioned to take advantage of a few day bounce with 9 active swing trades…5 of which were put on yesterday. Of note Bernanke speaks around noon today…..could be a market moving event.

A Comment:

“for those of us that like a little more volume, is there anything we can imply when you DON’T take a home dog that fits what appears to be every other criteria?

the marlins tonight for example. home dog, public on the road team and even a ‘name’ pitcher on the road team.

so if that’s not a play, can we take the opposite side, knowing that something must be amiss with the marlins that is preventing a play on them?”

Yes you can imply its not a play:) I agree the marlins looked like a perfect setup last night. But one of the variables I look at that I never go against was heavily on Milwaukee …so was a clear cut pass for me.

As far as taking the opposite side…betting on road favorites where the public is heavy on the road favorite  so far over the years is a losing proposition.  Its more then likely the worst bet in baseball!



Twitter: rickjsportplays

Twitter: rickjswingtrade

Leave a Comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Contact Us

We're not around right now. But you can send us an email and we'll get back to you, asap.

Not readable? Change text. captcha txt
Rickj's Handicapping Picks
Sign up now for our  newsletter. Includes handicapping tips

NFL Plays Last season was the best in 20 Years!!! MLB we are on track for back to back 17 unit seasons.

RickJ's Handicapping Picks  The latest in positive EV handicapping Techniques Overnight Plays in MLB are sent out around 3 to 4 PM PST the day before Come join us for a fun and profitable Pro Sports season!!!  
Sign up now  for a fun and exciting football season

Positive EV Handicapping

Do you know the important clues that help determine which side has +EV?
  • Learn about Reverse Line Moves and how they apply to each sport
  • Learn about being a contrarian and using public % numbers to get an edge
  • Learn about the seasons within a season that all sports have
  • Learn key numbers in all sports

Sign up to get updates that will help you with your sports handicapping!