Two football games tonight.
In the NFL game, I put Houston +6.5 into my 5 games in the NFL SuperContest. I am off to a 4-1 start so would be nice to get the first one in for this week:) Am I hoping for too much? We will see.
In college football there is one game tonight:
Betting is 66% on the home favorite with the line moving from -15.5 to -15-114. The line has been bouncing around quite a bit today but it looks like it is settling right in here.
Models favor New Mexico, Variables and Public Betting is Neutral on the game. Models alone under no set of circumstance turns a game into a play. I need all 3 to fall in line for a full 1 unit play. We are nowhere close to a play on tonight’s game. A pass for me.
Wednesday we had two one unit plays and went 1-1 for +.36 Units.
We won with Cincy +136 6-0 and lost with Pitt +144 2-8.
It was a rare day yesterday with no overnights.
Today so far I have sent out 1 play.
Tonight there are two football games and I will have something to say later about each.
Football is an interesting time of the year, as if you have been gambling daily on MLB, it will appear that things are in slow motion once the regular season ends.
But it’s good to get some R and R if your wagering every day. Remember, as football winds down you get into the most hectic sport of all, College Hoops.
Where MLB is a grind, college hoops is in a league of its own for handicapping and betting. Sometimes up to 100 games a day:)
When you get into college hoops one of the most important things is to be organized. If you’re just starting out with sports betting you will see exactly what I mean.
But for now, we are focusing on the end of the baseball season and the beginning of football.
I had mentioned a few days ago that the NFL card looked pretty good going into this weekend. Well, numbers have changed a bit and it was not as easy as I thought it would be.
More on that Sunday morning.
One thing to note also is the Westgate top 5 really outperformed. They went 0-5:) Not a bad start for the top 5. I suspect at least for the first half of the season they will take a beating like last season.
Remember, the top 5 picks in the contest is all things being equal the side you do not want to be betting. You can either use them as a filter or if they agree with your handicapping go with it.
But, remember, if your handicapping agrees with the top 5 pass on the game. And if your handicapping brings you to a side where over 60 % of the betting is on that side, Pass.
Those two things alone will improve your results dramatically in the NFL.
Or if you want to do it the easy way join us for the NFL season and get my breakdown of each NFL game along with all plays!
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks