We are at the first full slate after the All-Star break and find ourselves +16.23 Units Season to date sports betting MLB.
Its been an interesting journey, to say the least. The first week of the season we hovered a bit below breakeven, then went on a rather amazing run for 2 months hitting 29+ Units.
What was amazing about the run was we virtually no drawdown during the two month period. That is a good example of positive variance at work:)
Then things turned around and we finally had a serious drawdown of close to 20 Units. That is negative variance but not near the degree of the positive we saw the first 2 months.
Then back up to almost +25 Units. And now we sit at 16+ Units.
This is how MLB goes. Very swingy. If you do not have a disciplined betting strategy you have no chance of winning in MLB.
The overnights have been the pillar of our Season with 235 Plays for +19.22 Units. That’s an 8.17% ROI. An excellent number for MLB.
Not only that the overnights have been predictive of the line move 65% of the time with the average move being 4.69.
Behind the overnights are the 1 UNIT Totals. They are 11-5 for +5.66 Units.
Not a lot of plays but these have been solid for some time now. We get one or two plays a week with these.
MLB overnights go on until the end of August. September has not been a productive month for these so I end them at that time.
But, we have the NFL and College Football that takes over in September. One of the most exciting periods for sports betting.
Good Luck Today
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks