Tues both our hoops bets lost and really were not close. But in the nhl both plays won. Toronto came from a 3-0 deficit to win 5-4!
Today a carryover from overnight….Penn -2.5. The line is now 4 at most books.
I have received an email that has convinced me that all plays that I usually post overnight will be posted around 6am pst.
Here is the email that convinced me:
“Which do you wait for? I see around 3 shops that are legit and open for US with numbers around the time. Its around 5k in total volume that you can get down on that number.
It just doesn’t make any sense to crush the overnight market if your goal is to simply give free picks to your followers. (This ignores any longterm problems as well.)
If you were simply getting rich, the more the merrier. But in reality this harms all but a few of you followers (Here’s likely the process that happens: 1) Someone sees you win 2) Sees its free 3) Sets up a script to let him know when there are new releases within 15s 4) wafflecrushes the board). When books have 3k-5k limits like your morning plays, and everyone has them. Then there is a legit amount of action to be shared and you won’t move the line 1.5 pts in 30 minutes. “
I agree with that and that is the way I did it most of the season last year. Most of the teams that handicap and put out plays usually dont come out until around 7 to 8 am pst…so we will beat them easily. The overnight simply do not move much before 6am.
Might be something in the ncaa fb game tonight….if so I will update. Nothing in the nba…and most likely a play or two in the nhl later.
Good Luck Today
RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com
Twitter: rickjsportplays
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A good assessment from the poster, which also made me laugh! Seems sensible though – at the moment you are setting the market for pinnacle and others, and doing it more accurately than the compilers do – which is why the lines aren't coming back very much, in my opinion.
With morning limits what 3x the size of overnight limits, I think the majority of the blog readers will benefit as the poster suggests.
Keep up the great work….3-0 down in hockey, that's nothing on the 10-0 down in the baseball 🙂