Nothing on Tues and again not much today. Nothing in college hoops or the nba. And maybe some nhl later today.
wonder if you could shine some light on something to a total novice handicapper. The Bengals to me have looked nothing short of hopeless in the last couple of months, and whilst they have home turf advantage this weekend I do not understand how they are comfortable moneyline favourites? It is a match where two struggling teams are playing each other so anything is possible but to a novice this seems just wrong? I wondered what your opinion is?
Keep up the good work man. “
I like to look for clues as the where the right side of a game is. First looking at the public….they are 55% on Cinci…so nothing there. The line opened at -1 and has stayed there..so again nothing there. The variables I look at point to both sides. Also the models I use to determine fair value rates the game at around a pick. Now the only edge I could possibly use would be your perception that Cinci should not be the favorite in the game. Since you have stated your a novice handicapper I would then conclude that perhaps Cinci might be the right side. But thats way to thin to base a wager on. Also if I were sitting at the poker table and I heard the players talking about how cleveland was the nuts…again I would conclude cinci might be the right side:)
In any event…nothing i can see on that game at all.