Wedn plays

We won our mlb play on Tues with Baltimore winning 5-4 for a +1.52 unit day.

Today there is nothing early I can see.

The split between early and late plays is about 50-50 and I would expect that to continue through the rest of the season. These late plays are FREE. Just send me your email address and I will add you to the group receiving late plays.

Poker Comments:

“The Unexplainable”

Once you get some experience gambling eventually you are going to see some things that occur that causes you to wonder what just happened. Perhaps it might be some solid winning player showing up one day and playing like a complete lunatic and blowing off a lot of money, or it might be a player playing for 3 days straight in a 40-80 game and losing 25,000, or it might even be yourself at the end of a tough tough day loosening up and losing more money then you should of that day trying to get even.

There are many people that live their lives and don’t even consider making a bet, playing poker for money or trying any form of gambling. Its just not in their psychological makeup. But us that are driven to gambling in one form or another in order to become a winning gambler need to know what it is that makes this part of our psyche.

There is a component of gambling that likens itself to any other type of addiction…and that is self destructive behavior. It can range from a mild form ie tilt occasionally to a more destructive form ie losing all your money, family , and friends.

I have come to the conclusion over the years that most that make this part of their lifestyle have this component ie the ability to self destruct.

I have also come to the conclusion that in order to become successful as a gambler its essential to know that this is part of your psyche, understand it, and turn it to your advantage. I have done that by only gambling at what I consider positive expectation games.

I am obsessive about keeping spreadsheets as you should be as reinforcement for your belief that you have a positive expectation. And if after a sufficient number of samples ie bets, you are losing…you have to adjust or quit that particular form of gambling! The human mind can trick you but spreadsheets and numbers do not lie ..they are whats actually occurring.

If your having trouble grasping this concept then you need to step back and learn about it and understand it. There is one movie years ago that best illustrated it and I highly recommend it. The movie is “the gambler” with James Caan. Its about as accurate a depiction of the psychological makeup of a gambler as I have encountered.

On the upper right hand corner of my blog I have a link to all previous posts of poker comments

Late Plays.

We had no late plays on Monday

Late Play Record:

MLB 08 season
Sides: 6-8 -0.63
Total: 3-1 +2.00

Arena football
Sides 0-1 -1.05
Total0-1-1 0.00
Sides 6-6 +1.15
Total 0-1-2 -1.00
Sides 25-16 +8.20
total 10-12-1 – 1.65
Sides: 1-0 +1.00
Total: 0-1 -1.05
totals: 7-5-1 + 1.75
sides: 8-23 -11.19
Total: 7-12 – 5.65
Sides: 1-1 0.00
Total: 0-2 -2.15

Good Luck


Record to date:
MLB (08 season)
Sides: 10-5 +7.63
Total: 1-1 -0.10

MLB(07 Season)
Sides: 71-93 +3.79
O/U: 24-21-1 + 2.40

mlb(06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09

NFL (07-08)completed
Sides 18-10 +7.50
Total 0-1 -1.05

nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83

Sides: 19-10-1 +8.50
Totals: 33-15-2 +17.15

ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63

NBA 07-08
Sides 11-14 -3.60
Total 6-8 -2.35

Nba 06-07 completed
Side 78-77 -2.75
o/u 31-25 +4.98

NHL (07 Season)
Sides: 4-12 -6.75

nhl06-07 completed
sides 35-36 +6.66
total 4-5 -1.10

Arena Football
Total: 1-0 +1.00

Sides: 5-1 +3.95
Total: 0-1 -1.05

Oct06: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81%
Nov06: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0%
Dec06: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11%
Jan07: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14%
Feb07: 31 bets -6.75 units -21.77%
Mar07: 40 bets -9.75 units -24.37%
April07: 34 bets +3.42 units +10.06%
May07: 49 bets -3.64 units -7.43%
JUne07: 46 bets +14.66units +31.87%
July07: 45 bets -7.26 units -16.13%
Aug07: 37 bets +2.63 units +7.10%
Sep07t 65 bets +11.29 units +17.37%
Oct07: 28 bet +16.10 +57.50%
Nov07: 40 bet +2.00 units +5.39%
Dec07: 18 bets 0.05 units +2.78%
Jan08: 12 bets -3.60
Feb 08 5 bet +0.80
Mar 08 17 bets -5.10
April 08 12 bets +5.91
May 08 5 bets +1.62
Year2 139 bet +19.58 +13.40%
Year1 734 Bets + 50.70units +6.91%
Total: 873 bets +68.28 +7.68%

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