wedn plays

We had 1 play on Tues and it won. Oakland +133

Today nothing early I can see.

The nba and nhl seasons are over and below is the recap between late plays and early plays for both.

NBA late plays
Sides 25-16 +8.20
total 10-12-1 – 1.65

NBA 07-08 early plays
Sides 11-14 -3.60
Total 6-8 -2.35

season total for nba
Sides: 36-30 +4.60
Total: 16-20-1 -4.00

So we had 102 wagers for +.60 units! Thats the 2nd season now i have broke even in the nba. Not much there with my methods.

NHL late
Sides 6-6 +1.15
Total 0-1-2 -1.00

NHL (07 Season)early
Sides: 4-12 -6.75
totals:

Total for season nhl
Sides 10-18 -5.60
Totals 0-1-2 -1.00

So 47 wagers for -6.60 units…again…2nd season with breakeven or a loss.

The split between early and late plays is about 50-50 and I would expect that to continue through the rest of the season. These late plays are FREE. Just send me your email address and I will add you to the group receiving late plays.

Poker Comments:

Enjoy the fall #2

I received a lot of email the gist of which was how can you enjoy running bad!

The point of my last post was that there is no need to torment yourself over something that is sure to happen.

Bad beats and running bad are part of the game. I call them that only because that is the terminology most poker players use. It is nothing but variance at work. Of course that assumes your a winning player. For many players bad play will magnify the downswings and limit the upswings.

If your graphing your wins and losses you should see higher highs and higher lows over a period of time. Similar to a stock graph. a run up…a pull back..then a run up to a higher number. If you have 4000 hours in and dont see that on your graph then more probably then not your skill level at the game your playing is not high enough. Either drop down or quit or figure out a way to become a better player.

I play around 50 hours a week on the average and play around 50 weeks a year. I have been doing that now for 6 years. There isnt a year that goes by that I dont see at least a 100 unit downswing during the year!!!!

I hope I have convinced you that there is no way to avoid bad beats or downswings…its a fact period. Now how are you going to enjoy them?

Thats beyond my expertise since everyones psyche is different. Myself it was simple logic and Spence….Why not just enjoy the fall rather then fight it!

I do slip from time to time…..but overall my game has been improved by recognizing and accepting what happens.

Its not bad luck, your not getting punished, its simply variance and if you cant accept that and take it…then you must quit. The mental and physical stress will eventually get you and it will effect your game.

On the upper right hand corner of my blog I have a link to all previous posts of poker comments

Late Plays.

we had no late plays on tues

Late Play Record:

MLB 08 season
Sides: 11-19 -5.74
Total: 5-4 +0.95

Wnba 08
Sides 4-3 +0.85

Arena football
Sides 0-1 -1.05
Total0-1-1 0.00
NHL
Sides 6-6 +1.15
Total 0-1-2 -1.00
NBA
Sides 25-16 +8.20
total 10-12-1 – 1.65
NFL
Sides: 1-0 +1.00
Total: 0-1 -1.05
NCAA fb
sides:
totals: 7-5-1 + 1.75
mlb
sides: 8-23 -11.19
Total: 7-12 – 5.65

Wnba 07
Sides: 1-1 0.00
Total: 0-2 -2.15

Good Luck

RickJ
Rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com

Record to date:

MLB (08 season)
Sides: 14-11 +6.71
Total: 1-1-1 -0.10

MLB(07 Season)
Sides: 71-93 +3.79
O/U: 24-21-1 + 2.40

mlb(06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09

NFL (07-08)completed
Sides 18-10 +7.50
Total 0-1 -1.05

nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83

Ncaafb(07-08)
Sides: 19-10-1 +8.50
Totals: 33-15-2 +17.15

ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63

NBA 07-08
Sides 11-14 -3.60
Total 6-8 -2.35

Nba 06-07 completed
Side 78-77 -2.75
o/u 31-25 +4.98

NHL (07 Season)
Sides: 4-12 -6.75
totals:

nhl06-07 completed
sides 35-36 +6.66
total 4-5 -1.10

Arena Football
Sides:
Total: 1-0 +1.00

WNBA
Sides: 5-1 +3.95
Total: 0-1 -1.05

Oct06: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81%
Nov06: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0%
Dec06: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11%
Jan07: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14%
Feb07: 31 bets -6.75 units -21.77%
Mar07: 40 bets -9.75 units -24.37%
April07: 34 bets +3.42 units +10.06%
May07: 49 bets -3.64 units -7.43%
JUne07: 46 bets +14.66units +31.87%
July07: 45 bets -7.26 units -16.13%
Aug07: 37 bets +2.63 units +7.10%
Sep07t 65 bets +11.29 units +17.37%
Oct07: 28 bet +16.10 +57.50%
Nov07: 40 bet +2.00 units +5.39%
Dec07: 18 bets 0.05 units +2.78%
Jan08: 12 bets -3.60
Feb 08 5 bet +0.80
Mar 08 17 bets -5.10
April 08 12 bets +5.91
May 08 9 bets +2.33
June 08 7 bet -1.62
Year2 150 bet +18.66 +13.40%
Year1 734 Bets + 50.70 units +6.91%
Total: 884 bets +67.36 +7.68%

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