We won our Green Play on Sunday. An easy win if there is such a thing!
I went 2-3 in the Hilton contest last weekend bringing my record up to 16-17-2.
I am working on ncaa fb and the nfl and there are a few games that look promising early.
A note about the NHL and the upcoming NBA. There will be no early posts on these but only late plays. With the decreased betting numbers on these games the variables I look at only become relevant shortly before the game.
As to ncaa baskets I will be putting these out again this year. I turned in a 10 unit profit for the season last year.
If you want on the email or text messaging list for early and late plays just drop me an email. I will still post both on this blog.
The split between early and late plays is about 50-50 and I would expect that to continue through the rest of the season. These late plays are FREE. Just send me your email address and I will add you to the group receiving late plays.
Sports comments:
I received the following email:
“The other day you discussed not making a play potentially on the TCU under because the line dropped too much. Conversely, let’s say the 46.5 had gone to 48.5, would that warrant an increased bet amount?”
My reply:
I usually dont increase my bet size or add to my bets if the line moves favorably. However I was very tempted when I saw Green Bay move to +3 Sunday. Again the edge is so small in my opinion that when you pull the trigger you live with that decision.
Now if your a seasoned pro and intellectually decide to increase your bet size that is different. But for most bettors it just gives them an excuse to wager more then they should be on the game.
If any of you have more questions or comments ask away…poker , sports, vegas.
On the upper right hand corner of my blog I have a link to all previous posts of poker comments
Late Plays.
we had no late plays on Tues
Late play record
NCAA FB 08-09
Sides 1-2 -1.05
totals 0-1 -1.05
NHL 08-09
Sides: 1-2 -0.90
MLB 08 season
Sides: 27-34 +0.71
Total: 9-6-1 +2.75
Wnba 08
Sides 4-4 -0.20
Arena football
Sides 0-1 -1.05
Total0-1-1 0.00
NHL
Sides 6-6 +1.15
Total 0-1-2 -1.00
NBA
Sides 25-16 +8.20
total 10-12-1 – 1.65
NFL
Sides: 1-0 +1.00
Total: 0-1 -1.05
NCAA fb
sides:
totals: 7-5-1 + 1.75
mlb
sides: 8-23 -11.19
Total: 7-12 – 5.65
Wnba 07
Sides: 1-1 0.00
Total: 0-2 -2.15
Good Luck
RickJ
RickJshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com
Record to date:
NFL 08-09
Sides: 3-3 -0.15
Ncaa fb 08-09 Season
Sides 8-3 +4.85
Total 1-0 +1.00
Ncaafb(07-08)
Sides: 19-10-1 +8.50
Totals: 33-15-2 +17.15
ncaafb (06-07 completed)
Sides 36-27-2 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
MLB (08 season)
Sides: 28-41 -4.69
Total: 2-1-1 +0.90
MLB(07 Season)
Sides: 71-94 +2.79
O/U: 24-21-1 + 2.40
mlb(06 season,started end of season)
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
NFL (07-08)completed
Sides 18-10 +7.50
Total 0-1 -1.05
nfl(06-07 completed)
Sides 26-10-1 +15.56
o/u 7-4 +2.83
NBA 07-08
Sides 11-14 -3.60
Total 6-8 -2.35
Nba 06-07 completed
Side 78-77 -2.75
o/u 31-25 +4.98
NHL (07 Season)
Sides: 4-12 -6.75
totals:
nhl06-07 completed
sides 35-36 +6.66
total 4-5 -1.10
Arena Football
Sides:
Total: 1-0 +1.00
WNBA
Sides: 5-1 +3.95
Total: 0-1 -1.05
Oct06: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81%
Nov06: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0%
Dec06: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11%
Jan07: 57 bets + 6.92 units +12.14%
Feb07: 31 bets -6.75 units -21.77%
Mar07: 40 bets -9.75 units -24.37%
April07: 34 bets +3.42 units +10.06%
May07: 49 bets -3.64 units -7.43%
JUne07: 46 bets +14.66units +31.87%
July07: 45 bets -7.26 units -16.13%
Aug07: 37 bets +2.63 units +7.10%
Sep07t 65 bets +11.29 units +17.37%
Oct07: 28 bet +16.10 +57.50%
Nov07: 40 bet +2.00 units +5.39%
Dec07: 18 bets 0.05 units +2.78%
Jan08: 12 bets -3.60
Feb 08 5 bet +0.80
Mar 08 17 bets -5.10
April 08 12 bets +5.91
May 08 9 bets +2.33
June 08 11 bet +1.08
july 08 19 bets -5.22
Aug 08 20 bet -5.88
Sept 08 14 bet -0.25
Oct 08 7 bets +2.90
Year 3 7 bets +2.90
Year2 206 bets +8.06 +4.79%
Year1 734 Bets + 50.70 units +6.91%
Total: 948 bets +61.65 +6.51%
