Westgate NFL Supercontest week 15 picks posts, Also Westgate top 5 picks posted.

Heading into week 15 of the Westgate NFL Supercontest I sit at 34-35-1.  3 more weeks left and I am hoving at the 500 mark:(

Let’s see if I can close out the season with a strong last 3 weeks.

One play from last week that bears mentioning was I had put out Cleveland +3.5 than when the line went down to 2.5 and some of what I look at changed dramatically I decided to lay of the wager at -2.5 with a chance at a 3 middle.

Then the game goes into OT and all of a sudden the middle is very live.But GB scores a touchdown in OT rather than a field goal:) So the layoff saved money and almost hit the magical 3.  But it changed a 4-1 day in the contest to 3-2 last week.

My picks this week are:

Cleveland +7

Giants +7.5

Cincinnati +10.5

Oakland +3

Tampa +6.5

The Westgate Top 5 this week are:

San Fran

KC

Chargers

New Eng

Rams

The top 5 went 3-2 last week bringing it record to 31-39 or 44.28%. They were hovering in the low 30s for most of the season.

The Westgate bottom 5 this week:

Indy

Denver

Jets

Cinci

Arizona

All things being equal your handicapping should result in fading the top 5 and being on the bottom 5. That is a good way to judge your handicapping techniques. Of course, it’s not as simple as that but overall not a bad method. If you consistently are with the top 5 you need to figure out why and change it.

Also for subscribers, you may have noticed that the # of 1/2 unit new plays is dropping off a bit. I have added a filter to those plays that will most likely reduce variance and increase EV. Time will tell but so far I like what I am seeing.

I will be around on Skype this morning if anyone has any questions. My username there is riccja.

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ’s Handicapping Picks

rickjshandicappingpicks.com

Skype:  riccja

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