Quick update for political odds on the Wisconson primary. Ryan is a 4 to 1 favorite to win the Wisconsin GOP primary.
With the house passing a 1.3 trillion dollar spending bill which was pushed by Ryan I suspect that the political odds will be going down quickly.
I put Ryan at no more than 2 to 1 and perhaps closer to even money in the primary. If things really go sour for him he may not even run, as he has suggested.
At this point, it does not seem that Ryan could care less whether he continues on in the House. The entire approach to the spending bill is something that will not go well with the Wisconsin voters.
I would take the 4 to 1 in a heartbeat.
Political odds is a funny thing to evaluate. A lot of intangibles to consider, most of which are not easily quantifiable!
RickJ’s Handicapping Picks